Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000097 0.000102 0.000108 0.000114 0.000121 0.000128 0.000137
2024-12-29 0.000089 0.000097 0.000106 0.000116 0.000128 0.000141 0.000158
2025-01-05 0.000082 0.000091 0.000101 0.000113 0.000128 0.000146 0.000169
2025-01-12 0.000076 0.000085 0.000096 0.000109 0.000126 0.000147 0.000175
2025-01-19 0.000071 0.000081 0.000092 0.000106 0.000125 0.000148 0.000181
2025-01-26 0.000067 0.000076 0.000087 0.000102 0.000121 0.000145 0.000181
2025-02-02 0.000065 0.000075 0.000086 0.000102 0.000123 0.000152 0.000194
2025-02-09 0.000064 0.000074 0.000087 0.000104 0.000128 0.000161 0.000212
2025-02-16 0.000063 0.000074 0.000087 0.000106 0.000132 0.000170 0.000231
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000075 0.000090 0.000111 0.000142 0.000187 0.000266
2025-03-02 0.000061 0.000072 0.000087 0.000108 0.000139 0.000186 0.000269
2025-03-09 0.000058 0.000070 0.000084 0.000105 0.000136 0.000184 0.000270
2025-03-16 0.000057 0.000068 0.000083 0.000105 0.000138 0.000189 0.000288
2025-03-23 0.000056 0.000067 0.000083 0.000106 0.000143 0.000201 0.000320
2025-03-30 0.000054 0.000065 0.000081 0.000104 0.000141 0.000203 0.000331
2025-04-06 0.000051 0.000063 0.000078 0.000101 0.000137 0.000199 0.000332
2025-04-13 0.000049 0.000060 0.000075 0.000098 0.000135 0.000198 0.000336
2025-04-20 0.000047 0.000058 0.000072 0.000094 0.000130 0.000191 0.000328
2025-04-27 0.000046 0.000057 0.000072 0.000095 0.000132 0.000199 0.000355
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000057 0.000072 0.000096 0.000137 0.000211 0.000396
2025-05-11 0.000046 0.000057 0.000073 0.000098 0.000141 0.000224 0.000442
2025-05-18 0.000046 0.000058 0.000075 0.000102 0.000151 0.000250 0.000539
2025-05-25 0.000045 0.000056 0.000073 0.000100 0.000148 0.000246 0.000541